On Thursday morning, Trump's probability of winning was 63% or higher on Polymarket, a crypto trading platform, and two major ...

Curious to know who's leading the polls? Here's when Ohio counts ballots, absentee ballot drop off, 2024 presidential election results.

The race between Trump and Harris is tight in key 2024 swing states, with polls showing a near tie in crucial Pennsylvania.

Polls taken before Election Day did pretty well. Pollsters got close to the mark in races for president and senate, which is ...

The polls weren’t off that much in capturing a near-uniform swing in very close states. But they underestimated the Trump ...

Essentially, he told me, FiveThirtyEight reflects one person’s approach to turning data into a probability. Markets are ...

And, while most pollsters had predicted a narrowing margin between Harris and Trump in the popular vote, almost all showed ...

After 5 p.m. Eastern Time on Election Day, Americans will get their first look at exit polls, which could offer early intel ...

Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...

Despite pulling into the lead in two recent polls, Kari Lake still trails Ruben Gallego in polling averages and betting odds.

Maine and Nebraska award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and a single electoral vote to the winner of each ...

Republican-funded polling is simply not credible; the presidential race will be nail-bitingly close.